Articles by FergusArgyll
10

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027? (27%) (kalshi.com)

1

BegBot: AI That Begs to Survive (begbot.ai)

3

Something big is happening in AI – and most people will be blindsided (fortune.com)

5

China's Top General Accused of Giving Nuclear Secrets to U.S. (wsj.com)

2

Perdictle: A Daily Prediction Game (manifold.markets)

3

OpenAI adds ChatGPT Health for medical questions (axios.com)

1

Your Year with ChatGPT (chatgpt.com)

1

AI is creating more jobs so far (axios.com)

1

Against Exponential Backoff (incoherency.co.uk)

3

Generating Creative Chess Puzzles (arxiv.org)

4

Hamas frees hostages and Israel releases prisoners as Trump visits the region (apnews.com)

2

Abusing GitHub commit history for the lulz (github.com/gelstudios)

3

.ai TLD accounts for ~50% of Anguilla state revenue (marginalrevolution.com)

3

A real-time journey through the Apollo missions (apolloinrealtime.org)

1

Training Agents Inside of Scalable World Models (danijar.com)

1

David Commins on Saudi Arabia, Wahhabism, and the Future of the Gulf States (conversationswithtyler.com)

4

Mathematical research with GPT-5: a Malliavin-Stein experiment (arxiv.org)

1

Preferred Sources in Google Search (blog.google)

128

ICEBlock handled my vulnerability report in the worst possible way (micahflee.com)

5

The Depression of 2026 [2012] (progress.org)

2

Staying Sane on a Zombie Planet (scottaaronson.blog)

1

Ultrathink in Claude Code (claudelog.com)

3

Google Gemini's Self Loathing (businessinsider.com)

2

Ads are inevitable in AI, and that's okay (strangeloopcanon.com)

21

Wikipedia: Signs of AI Writing (wikipedia.org)

1

Global earthquake detection and warning using Android phones (doi.org)

2

Moths Incorporate Plant Acoustic Emissions into Their Decision-Making Process (elifesciences.org)

1

Lessons from a Chimp: AI "Scheming" and the Quest for Ape Language (arxiv.org)

2

AI forecasting benchmarking results Q1 (metaculus.com)

3

Dead members of Congress can't stop posting (politico.com)

2

Top AI Models Compete in a Game of Diplomacy (every.to/diplomacy)

4

Lists of Lists of Lists (wikipedia.org)

3

How politically slanted are Large Language Models? (modelslant.com)

4

Pfizer executives may have delayed vaccine for political purposes (cnn.com)

2

Democracy in Danger (marginalrevolution.com)

4

Can Ukraine–and America–Survive Donald Trump? (newyorker.com)

3

Standup Comedy by Claude (gally.net)

3

Mercury Coder, a Diffusion LLM (inceptionlabs.ai)

8

Gambling on papal conclaves (wikipedia.org)

1

Claims of LLM cheating are exaggerated (threadreaderapp.com)

1

Measuring Hardware Overhang (lesswrong.com)

1

Towards Benchmarking LLM Diversity and Creativity (gwern.net)

3

Debian Installer Trixie Alpha 1 (Debian 13) release (debian.org)

1

Bald eagle officially U.S. national bird after Biden signs bill into law (axios.com)

7

We need to talk about Salt Typhoon (politico.com)

2

Tell HN: Gemini-exp-1206 is Pro 2.0 (gemini.google.com)

5

An Economic and Rational Choice Approach to the Autism Spectrum, Neurodiversity (2011) (ssrn.com)

3

US Regulation of Sausages (marginalrevolution.com)

1

The Cost of Her (tomtunguz.com)

2

Adding payments to your LLM agentic workflows (stripe.dev)

9

Debian Junior Desktop live image (debian.org)

1

The first smart binoculars: the future of nature observation (swarovskioptik.com)

1

Saddam Husseins Unfinished Mosques (amusingplanet.com)

1

Progressives should worry more about their favorite scientific findings (paulbloom.net)

2

Show HN: Newsboat-Digest, Summarize unread articles in newsboat with Gemini (github.com/luvchurchill)

2

Privately vs. Publicly held views [pdf] (populace.org)

2

California Drivers May Soon Get Speed-Warning Devices as Standard (caranddriver.com)

2

Distributed Training over the Internet [pdf] (github.com/nousresearch)

2

How I Use AI (carlini.com)

5

Gemma 2B: Scores better than GPT 3.5 Turbo (twitter.com/lmsysorg)

5

Friend.com (friend.com)

4

Slave Morality (astralcodexten.com)

6

Dual-action antibiotic could make bacterial resistance nearly impossible (uic.edu)

4

Ask HN: Terminal RSS Reader

2

Tell HN: Wikipedia dark mode for desktop is in beta (wikipedia.org)

15

Why I Attack (carlini.com)

3

Doomers have lost the AI fight (axios.com)

2

Chess: ChatGPT vs. Gemini (chess.com)

3

List of long time abusers of Wikipedia (wikipedia.org)

1

Chess.com April Fools "New app for Gen-Z" (chess.com)

0

Animation of Moore's Law: prediction vs. reality [video] (youtube.com)

2

The Dyatlov Pass Incident (wikipedia.org)

2

Chatbot letdown: hype hits rocky reality (axios.com)

1

Paraplegic plays chess helped by neuralink chip in brain (chess.com)

7

New Scotland bill: Jailtime for racist speech (legislation.gov.uk)

1

Alphacodium: State of the art code generation for code contests (codium.ai)

0

The Poor Man of Nippur (wikipedia.org)

1

Ask HN: What valuation method does Google finance use?

107

Top AIs still fail IQ tests (maximumtruth.org)

2

Crash at Crush (wikipedia.org)

1

Interpretations of Probability, the implications for weather forecasting (2004) (ametsoc.org)

1

Storm: Assisting in Writing Wikipedia-Like Articles from Scratch with LLMs [pdf] (arxiv.org)

3

New Benchmark for LLMs (carlini.com)

4

Experiments Prove the Existence of a New Type of Magnetism (nature.com)

5

Ask HN: What's the Perfect HN Title?

3

The Problem of Human Specialness in the Age of AI (scottaaronson.blog)

1

Learning to Fly in Seconds [video] (youtube.com)

85

On whether we're living in a simulation (scottaaronson.blog)

1

Is Science a Public Good? (marginalrevolution.com)

11

Tiger moth jams bat sonar (2009) (science.org)

1

Galaxy of Horrors (nasa.gov)

2

The Mars Colonization Tech Stack (contrary.com)

2

Vitalik on Crypto and AI (eth.limo)

47

NASA's Webb depicts structure in 19 nearby spiral galaxies (webbtelescope.org)

2

Americans misestimate size of population subgroups (yougov.com)

5

New lead in Amelia Earhart's disappearance (wsj.com)

49

[flagged] What age is optimal for pregnancy? (study) (sagepub.com)

5

Show HN: NoAds, a very very Simple Solution for YouTube (github.com/luvchurchill)

1

Flexible Glass (Myth) (wikipedia.org)